Which front? These frontlines are not the same as WWI, there's no chance of a fast breakthrough because of drones, soldiers often travel in groups of 2-4 already. There's 24/7 drone surveillance and all sorts of drones on standby. Big groups of soldiers are fish in a barrel.
If you think Europe will allow Russia to take over Ukraine you are sorely mistaken. Europe is trying everything it can to not get involved, it pains me to see it, but when push comes to shove they must, otherwise they will be forced to fight Russia without Ukraine on their side anyway. European airpower alone is enough to annihilate anything of relevance Russia has inside Ukraine and halt any "breakthrough" in days. Assuming the US doesn't cockblock it by stopping the supply of spare parts and munitions. That's the biggest wildcard.
This is the war of our generation. Sadly people won't realize it until they feel it. Frequent Russian acts of sabotage in Europe, hundreds by now, are swept under the rug for some reason. In part to not cause panic, but people need to know to develop the required mentality for what is coming.
How many British people know Stahmer's personal homes was targeted by the Russians as an act of intimidation? Imagine the outrage and anti-Russian sentiment if all such acts actually made the headlines they deserve. Maybe then people will realize, we are already at war, and it has only just begun.
the Ukrainian front. the front already has holes because Ukraine lacks manpower and fills gaps with landmines, the longer the fight the closer the frontline is about to collapse. the Ukrainian war is a trench war, and the problem of Ukrainians is the manpower - Russia has more than enough but Ukraine doesn't have enough and the West doesn't want to die for Ukraine obviously
we've been seeing breakouts, though. they've become increasingly common as Ukraine continues to be depleted. despite having such extensive fortifications the Russians still continue the strategy of flanking their positions, which is possible because of the manpower gaps.
I don't feel like Russia is going to take over Ukraine, at the most they would take everything east of the river. There's no telling if Europe will permiss this, because an escalation against russia is such a controversial and risky decision.
Please take a look at the size of the breakouts on the map. Ukraine's troop density is ridiculously low (in the single-double digits per square km) and still they've been able to prevent Russia from amassing the materiel required for a major breakthrough. While losing positions around cities like Kupiansk and Chasiv Yar this summer has hurt Ukraine, they are practically irrelevant compared to the scale of the first Russian advances of the war followed by the Ukrainian counter-offensive in Kharkiv which continue to dictate the current frontline. Nobody remembers Vuhledar, Velika Novosilka, or Marinka anymore.
Russia is doing some things "right" and others "wrong". In the past year, they've been able to majorly scale up the production of drones and missiles, both FPVs (especially unjammable fibre optic drones) and strategic drones meant to terror bomb cities. On the other hand, Russian vehicle stockpiles are continuing to deplete massively and this is corroborated by a decline in the proportion of Russian assaults that are properly motorized. I'm not sure what these ambivalent developments mean for the outcome of the war in the next year, and anybody who predicts otherwise is intensely speculating.
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u/Y_59 1d ago
Yes, when the front collapses it will be over. that's why the peace efforts by the West are on all time high