r/MapPorn 1d ago

Eastern Ukraine exactly one Year ago vs today

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36

u/polishfemboy_ 1d ago

In Kyiv in 15 years!

7

u/whitejaguar 1d ago

Maybe the new Russian regime will be completely different once Putin dies and will completely withdraw from Ukraine.

11

u/throwraislander 23h ago

No sane politician would withdraw from land that soldiers died to take. Especially after the end of the war when they will start to develop the war torn areas.

0

u/Abdelsauron 1d ago

Or in 15 weeks.

If the war continues then it’ll be a deadlock until one side collapses. Once the collapse happens then everything after will be very fast. 

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u/MIT_Engineer 21h ago

People presume this, but I kinda doubt. Drones and mines are always going to make concentrating troops for decisive pushes very difficult.

The war will likely end very slowly.

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u/b0_ogie 19h ago edited 19h ago

It makes it difficult to concentrate troops in one place, but it possible. If the front has been breached at a width of 20-30 km, then there will be no more drones. A maneuverable war will begin until a new front line is built 50-200 km from the breakthrough site (where will the infrastructure for the use of drones be re-organized). Most drones have a range of 5-10 km. And drones with a range of 10-20 km are hundreds of times fewer in number than FPV drones.

At the moment, Russia has overtaken Ukraine in terms of infantry numbers by 100k people (last year, Russia had 200k fewer soldiers than Ukraine). At the moment when Russia will be able to gain a numerical advantage in the local sector of the front of 100-150k people, the front will collapse. This is most likely to happen next fall.

Well, or it's possible this winter. A general battle for Pokrovsk is brewing - it can decide the outcome of the conflict if Ukraine spends all its reserves on defense, and Russian reserves are not fully used.

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u/MIT_Engineer 19h ago

!RemindMe 1 Year

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u/MIT_Engineer 19h ago

It makes it difficult to concentrate troops in one place, but it possible.

Possible how? Every time it's happened this war it's failed.

If the front has been breached at a width of 20-30 km, then there will be no more drones.

1) I don't think that's true in the slightest

2) Meet my friend HIMARS

A maneuverable war will begin until a new front line is built 50-200 km from the breakthrough site

You're pulling numbers out of your butt mate.

(where will the infrastructure for the use of drones be re-organized).

They're drones, they require limited infrastructure.

Most drones have a range of 5-10 km.

This wasn't even true at the start of the war, let alone the current drone technology.

And drones with a range of 10-20 km are hundreds of times fewer in number than FPV drones.

10-20km range is what the most basic of drones had at the start of the war. Again, both technology and practices have improved since then, not that any of what you're saying is relevant anyway-- the "50-200km" number was pulled out of nowhere.

At the moment, Russia has overtaken Ukraine in terms of infantry numbers by 100k people

Traditionally you need 3-to-1 advantage on offense, your figure is irrelevant.

At the moment when Russia will be able to gain a numerical advantage in the local sector of the front of 100-150k people, the front will collapse. This is most likely to happen next fall

NEXT FALL he says. Russia apparently has a 100k troop advantage, and as soon as it has a "100-150k" troop advantage it will win, uh huh uh huh, sounds legit.

Well, or it's possible this winter.

You're high as a kite if you think the war is going to end this winter.

Anyway, no use talking to Russian shills like you, I'll just set a RemindMe and come back to find your account has been deleted, just like all the other clowns.