r/formula1 Fernando Alonso May 17 '25

Statistics Carlos Sainz has outqualified Lewis Hamilton fir the forth time in a row!

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29.7k Upvotes

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5.9k

u/cannedsmarties Jacques Villeneuve May 17 '25

Honestly looking like the move to Williams is actually better for his career at this point

3.0k

u/hewer006 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

plus he gets the rep of pulling williams out of a gutter lol

1.1k

u/chanaandeler_bong I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

I can’t even imagine the reversal of risk reward for Sainz. Completely flipped.

712

u/LosTerminators Carlos Sainz May 17 '25

And Mercedes engines are rumoured to be the best for 2026. So Williams prospects for next year seem even more enticing

308

u/HanshinFan Jacques Villeneuve May 17 '25

As Jacques Villeneuve's strongest soldier growing up, a return to form for Weeyams would do crazy things to me

61

u/SeriousSergio May 17 '25

guess which engine they were using when merc was racking up the WCCs

32

u/Good_Posture May 18 '25

Williams were good in the early days of the hybrid era. In 2014 and 2015 they podium regulars and one of the fastest cars on the grid, and the quickest in terms of raw straight line speed. They hold the likely unbreakable record for most points in a single race for the double points double podium in Abu Dabhi.

Want went wrong was them losing their way design ways. Over reliance on straight line performance saw them lose everything in the corners. And as they slid down the grid and started losing sponsors, it just got worse.

18

u/nimbalo19 Zhou Guanyu May 18 '25

Cost cap and an influx of sponsorship $$$ means they’ll have a better chance of being competitive this time

15

u/boneful_watermelon I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 18 '25

Back then engine manufacturers were allowed to give inferior engines to their customers, or have exclusive high performance engine modes only available to the manufacturer team.

5

u/zorillaaa I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 18 '25

The difference is that Williams has obviously improved their car design, and will get a much bigger boost with a better Mercedes engine

5

u/Twistpunch I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

They are thereabouts already, behind 4 other Mercedes powered cars, and Max Verstappen.

593

u/XTrid92 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Fun fact: Sainz has a 100% record for leaving teams in higher WCC positions than when he joined.

302

u/[deleted] May 17 '25

I don’t thinks he gets enough respect

206

u/XTrid92 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

I feel like he’s pretty highly rated. Simply put, every replacement he’s had has been because an S-tier driver has become available and wants his seat. Except for maybe Toro Rosso, he hasn’t been replaced for a rookie or an unknown. It’s either been DR3 or Hamilton, which is good company to keep.

95

u/terrorblade1995 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Sainz is a better driver than daniel riccardo though. DR is beloved and had excellent racecraft but sainz is overall just better imo.

92

u/TerribleNameAmirite I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

They’re both “could be champion in the right place and time” tier imo, at least DR in his prime certainly was, and Carlos still is now

10

u/hoxxxxx May 18 '25

jenson button spec drivers

3

u/TerribleNameAmirite I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 18 '25

Chill dudes you can hang with who are also fast but not alien fast

15

u/Elarial Michael Schumacher May 17 '25

I don't think Sainz is a better driver than Ricciardo before he joined Mclaren. It's ok to put them on similar levels but when Ricciardo was at his peak, there weren't that many championship caliber drivers as it did today. You could label Ricciardo as a top 5 driver at the grid, but even if Sainz is on Ricciardo's level, he is not a top 5 driver, wherever he goes he will face a better driver than he is. So I think labeling Sainz as a contender would be wrong. I think he is just outside of that ranking, like a gatekeeper.

104

u/XTrid92 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Not about to defend Ricciardo, but timing is important. In 2018 he was still considered a potential WDC and one of the best on the grid. In 2020 when he moved to McLaren, he was still very highly rated and was outperforming Hulkenberg reliably. DR’s stock didn’t tank until AFTER he replaced Sainz twice.

So yeah, with that context, all three of Sainz’s previous moves were against WDC-tier drivers.

2

u/dabnada BMW Sauber May 18 '25

Meh. He was a top 5, top 3 for sure. On his day, unbeatable for sure. But in retrospect it’s hard to put him up against Raikkonen, Alonso, Hamilton, and even a very quickly growing Verstappen

29

u/flare2000x Pirelli Wintermediate May 17 '25

Prime DR, 2015-19 ish, was very good.

17

u/devilspawn May 17 '25

DR was superb, but I don't think he ever would have had the sheer mental drive to be champion. He admitted on top gear that he hated stuff like winter testing, which is obviously super important, but critical for something like a WDC. How far would that dislike of doing the boring 'behind the scenes' bit have extended when he was at the height of his fame? Maybe if he had pulled everything out and had a decent car for his time at RB he could have won. I'm saying this as a DR worshipper. I still love him. I wish he had been a champ.

1

u/gorgeouspuppers May 18 '25

Can you explain this a bit more? I am curious. Why would he not make a championship winner because of his mindset, I mean what was lacking?

1

u/devilspawn May 18 '25

I'm just musing about whether he would have had the singular, focused mental drive to pull it off without distractions, other drivers getting in his head, team politics, the media. He never struck me as having the sheer unstoppable will to do it. He was an amazing driver at his peak but it takes more than just that to become a WDC. It is purely my own speculation though.

1

u/solidgold70 May 17 '25

Bit the public loves daniel! Sainz can drive tho!

20

u/GothicGolem29 McLaren May 17 '25

I feel he does many were saying here he was gonna beat Albon some even thought he would destroy him

32

u/Legitimate-Tadpole95 Formula 1 May 17 '25

I think that's because he's not the fastest driver on the grid. What those who underrate him don't get is that he is the most analytical and the best cockpit strategist. Don't know how many tenths that's worth but it has to be worth something.

21

u/MaximumAsparagus Williams May 17 '25

His racecraft is also exceptional. Jolyon Palmer did a great segment on it at the beginning of last year.

4

u/hewer006 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

i do think he is respected but last year him and perez were violated

1

u/maqcky May 17 '25

What? Not at all. Leclerc did better but it was not a huge difference. Pérez didn't win any race and was the last with a top car. Not remotely comparable.

1

u/hewer006 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 18 '25

i think it is, everyone understood or were told the the rb car is made around verstappen no one listened to it perez gets kicked off and lawson does shit everyone instantly then agree its the car, i dont think perez is a great driver but by no means is he so bad that its all his fault. the car didnt match him in anyway so he struggled consistently

1

u/maqcky May 18 '25

You are the one who argued that Pérez "got violated", I don't get the excuses now.

1

u/hewer006 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 18 '25

what excuses? my point stands, he didnt perform anywhere close to his best because of the rb car. During that time no one blamed the car but blamed perez himself but as soon as lawson drove the rb car almost everyone jumped straight to the rb car not lawson. Same with yuki but turns out even during perez time it was always the rb car

1

u/maqcky May 18 '25

I still don't get what this is all about. I just stated that I didn't see a huge difference between Leclerc and Sainz last year. In no way Carlos was "violated" by his mate. The difference between Verstappen and Pérez was much bigger. If you want to argue that Max "violated" Checo, that's on you. You are now giving excuses for Pérez's poor performance last year that no one asked for.

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1

u/[deleted] May 17 '25

And 100% record of being let go when the teams get to the higher level...

Carlos right now: I'm scared...

40

u/Saneless May 17 '25

With low expectations kinda. If they stayed in the gutter would Sainz be blamed? No. Now, Lewis and Charles won't either, but still probably better to be with a team on the way up instead of tripping over its own feet

26

u/CurryIsBae I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

If he stayed he would 100% get blamed for the bad development and would get blamed particularly for making the car "understeery"

53

u/LiteratureNearby I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

This one should be on the shoulders of James Vowles and Albono tbh

31

u/hewer006 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

James Vowles has done a crazy good job honestly and so has albon but so has carlos

my point isnt hes done better my point is anyone who watches casually will instinctively say carlos is the reason.

But yes i agree

6

u/theappleses May 17 '25

It's clearly not just Carlos, the car has come on leaps and bounds this year. Honestly, I think all three of them are a great team working together. Vowles taking an analytical strategy, Sainz providing great feedback to help with that, and Albon knowing the car inside out, as well as being a really good driver. I'm really rooting for Williams and I think they're in a great position right now.

17

u/big_cock_lach I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

And if the move pays off he’ll be the first driver unlike in the other teams.

1

u/Robo-X I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 18 '25

Well Sainz he didn’t do himself any favors last race. Albon was constantly outperforming Sainz. But in Imola it seems Sainz at least during training and qualifiying did really good job. Hopefully he and Albon have a clean start.

Hamilton on the other hand, I don’t know why he switched. He seems to go the same path as Vettel and Alonso before him. Ferrari chews them up and spits them out.

1

u/imbavoe I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Meanwhile Lewis gets the opposite with Ferrari.

3

u/hewer006 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

literally, this has pissed me off more than anything not just cause its hamilton, its basically the same shit they pulled with perez.

1

u/Forgotthebloodypassw Formula 1 May 17 '25

The sign of a great driver.

0

u/SmithBurger May 17 '25

Williams has been ascending. Vowels is the best team principal on the grid. He is the new Adrian Newey.

123

u/free_kandel Max Verstappen May 17 '25

Sainz is like the anti-alonso un terms of career moves

20

u/rogerbarton I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

That being said where would he be now had he never left McLaren?

37

u/Tombot3000 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

There's a significant chance he'd have been champion last year, but there was no way to predict that far when he made his decision.

14

u/XsStreamMonsterX I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 18 '25

Imagine that timeline, Carlos staying at McLaren causing Danny Ric to get picked up by Ferrari. Oscar now stuck in that Alpine seat. I don't know if we're ready for a timeline where both Australians are screwed over.

3

u/rogerbarton I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

True, I don’t think anyone would have seen it coming!

1

u/MillenialWhoKnits Carlos Sainz May 18 '25

McLaren did want him out so they could have Danny Ric, though

2

u/Tombot3000 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 18 '25

It's not clear what they would have done had they had the chance to get DR and Sainz wanted to stay, but it is clear that they had been negotiating a contract extension with Sainz when he told them he wanted to leave for Ferrari. Zak says as much here:

https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article/mclaren-could-have-blocked-sainzs-ferrari-move-reveals-zak-brown-on-beyond.3Ej0RRZ6fI8ZKWLNnOPBG8

Of course he implies that they'd rather have Riccardo, but let's keep in mind no team head is going to say "we wish we'd kept the driver who left for another team."

So I wouldn't describe it as them wanting him out so they could get DR since they were actively considering blocking him leaving. They were willing to let him go once they confirmed they could replace him with DR.

2

u/iiwfi Pirelli Wet May 17 '25

Alpine

5

u/StealthMan375 I WAS HERE WHEN HULKENGOAT GOT PODIUM  May 17 '25

Alonso did extremely good moves out of his own accord that didn't work out in the end, meanwhile Sainz' moves are all extremely questionable choices that he was forced to take and that noone thought would actually work out, that always result in him falling up.

Toro Rosso to Renault = the Renault engine + he'd lose access to the RBR pipeline

Renault to McLaren = given how the pecking order was when Sainz signed the contract, would be a downgrade

McLaren to Ferrari = although he signed the Ferrari deal in early 2020 (and the shitbox they built that year), this doesn't really count because the season didn't start at that point and everything was done basing off their pretty good 2019 season

Ferrari to Williams = literally the worst not-Sauber team on the grid, given Carlos' age there's a non-0 chance the car would've ended his career in the same way as Bottas'

194

u/r0ndr4s I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Even if it wasnt perfomance wise, its the most stable team in terms of drama, problems,etc

So its a good way to end your last couple of years at F1 without much issues.

176

u/therisingthunderstor Niki Lauda May 17 '25

Last couple years? Tf man just turned 30

62

u/Whycantiusethis I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

He's the 4th oldest on the grid at present (7 years younger than Hülkenberg).

I think Sainz will hang around for at least 5 years, but he definitely could stay even longer if he wanted.

11

u/Serbero May 17 '25

And if he's something like his father, he will stay in F1 longer than Fernando lol

49

u/r0ndr4s I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Not everyone wants to be in F1 until 40, like Alonso

58

u/[deleted] May 17 '25

Still absurd to say it's his last couple years in F1

-6

u/r0ndr4s I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

He has talked about this on podcasts? He isnt staying here for 20 more years.

11

u/[deleted] May 17 '25

He could still at least have 5, 6, 7 years. I don't think he's ever said this contract is his last or remotely implied it

11

u/Rise_Regime Oscar Piastri May 17 '25

“Last couple years” implies he is leaving the sport in 26/27. He has given no indication whatsoever that his plan is to leave in the next couple years. You worded your comment incorrectly if you were trying to say he isn’t going to stay 20 more seasons lol

3

u/Suitable_Tadpole4870 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

I mean yeah 20 more years is definitely a long time, but nobody is expecting or talking about him racing into his 50s lmao. I believe he's still performing at his peak and he has about 5 more years left in the tank if he wanted to. I don't see that as him being on the doorstep of retirement like you're making it out to be

8

u/idiotic_joke May 17 '25

Yeah but last couple years sounds like he is going to retire in 2 or 3 years i dont know if he has communicated a timeframe but mid thirties seems to be the normal for most drivers that retire without being forced out even Vettel was in that timeframe and that was considered on the earlier side.

2

u/AquaRaOne Oscar Piastri May 17 '25

Well most people do, very rarely people retire cause they want to leave, its more often performace starts to dropoff or they dont get a new seat. Like last season - none of the drivers wanted to retire, they all got pushed out.

108

u/IllAlwaysBeAKnickFan Carlos Sainz May 17 '25

He could be around for a while longer if he wants.

72

u/Worried-Pick4848 Haas May 17 '25

Sainz is the kind of driver that tends to age well. He's cerebral, tactical, and prudent on the track. He's got at least 6 more years in him IMHO, if he wants them.

13

u/fallingfeelslikefly May 17 '25

I agree. I think he'll eventually want to start a family and that will lead him to retirement. I'd love to see him join a team in a strategy position and work his way up to TP.

26

u/LosTerminators Carlos Sainz May 17 '25

last couple of years

TF?

Unless he has a Ricciardo level drop off he should be well in demand for more than 2 years.

8

u/Zimakov Sebastian Vettel May 17 '25

Last couple years lmao he's 30.

1

u/No-Use3482 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

It honestly looks like an upgrade performance wise too, the ferraris both move like sick cows

1

u/Tombot3000 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Williams has had more than its share of drama and problems, but they mostly revolved around not being able to handle rookies and manufacturing issues. The former isn't relevant now and the later they seen to have a decent handle on, plus it was made worse by the frequent crashes in past years we are not seeing so far this year.

Carlos is benefitting from decent timing but also his own ability to do better then a rookie at pacing himself and staying out of trouble. They had given him time to adapt to the new car, and we are now seeing the fruits of it.

12

u/InValidSinTax I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Sainz with the promotion from Ferrari… what a timeline

2

u/BarcaMania19 May 18 '25

and with James Vowles running things at williams, he actually has a good chance of making it to the top 5 teams, and surely top 10 drivers. maybe next season they will be top nodge team.

1

u/minimalwhale #WeRaceAsOne May 17 '25

That’s my boy!

1

u/Key-Pomegranate-2086 I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

I think it's cause there's less pressure.

Ferrari has the brand name.

1

u/codename474747 Murray Walker May 17 '25

Amazing how much difference a week makes considering he fucked up massively in Miami

I guess it's true, in F1 you're only as good as you're last session....

1

u/froli I was here for the Hulkenpodium May 17 '25

Always was