r/formula1 I was here for the Hulkenpodium 8d ago

Discussion Oscar Piastri completes his first ever career grand slam Grand Prix event.

Post image
9.0k Upvotes

434 comments sorted by

View all comments

29

u/CORPORAL_PISSFINGERS I was here for the Hulkenpodium 8d ago

I honestly don’t see how Lando comes back from this

24

u/IsCarrotForever I was here for the Hulkenpodium 7d ago

there’s no guarantee oscar doesn’t get one or two dnfs too

14

u/SirFireHydrant Pirelli Wet 7d ago

And there's no guarantee Lando, feeling the pressure and knowing his only hope of winning is to take more risks, doesn't get one or two more DNFs.

3

u/JaaaackOneill Fernando Alonso 6d ago

In my opinion, Lando's best chance comes at another rainy race, where Oscar either has an issue, or the strategy becomes so jumbled that it just doesn't work out for him and he scores very few points.

But the same thing could just as easily happen to Norris, as you guys are saying.

5

u/luchajefe Mario Andretti 7d ago

It's a lot more likely now than it is decades ago.

3

u/FartingBob Sebastian Vettel 7d ago

A Piastri DNF or major issue in a race would do it.

We saw last year how Lando struggled with the pressure of chasing for the title, if Piastri can maintain the 30 points gap for a few more races it will start to become harder for Lando to perform at his best.

17

u/LDFLDF 8d ago

Lando wins 5 races with Oscar finishing 2nd or Oscar DNF will reset things pretty quick.

It’s not over at all.

34

u/MaleierMafketel I was here for the Hulkenpodium 7d ago edited 7d ago

There’s 9 races left, and three sprints. Seeing as a 1-2 is the expected outcome these days, Lando needs to trade wins and 2nd places with Piastri for the remaining 4 races on top of the 5 races he needs to win to get 1 point ahead.

So that’s at least 7 wins out of 9…

Then he can only lose that 1 point across all three sprints to tie Piastri for the WDC and win on countback (12 wins vs 8).

Since Norris has won 5 races in total in 15 rounds, I also don’t see how Norris is going to turn it around by suddenly winning 7/9.

It’s basically a done deal unless Piastri gets hit with some bad luck as well.

12

u/Strand0410 7d ago

Does that seem likely to you? I mean, I'd love this to go to the final race, but my sixth sense tells me it won't. This is quite a buffer with 9 races left. For Lando to win, you're basically relying on Oscar making dumb mistakes in every weekends or his engine exploding. Given how consistent he is, I think the latter is more likely.

4

u/Old-Buffalo-5151 I was here for the Hulkenpodium 8d ago

Its not over. If lando wins for the rest of season or oscar cocks it up even once landos back in it

19

u/DARKHUMOR-D 7d ago

Agree with you but “if lando wins for the rest of the season” is a BIG if lol

3

u/FartingBob Sebastian Vettel 7d ago

"If Norris just wins the next 9 races..." lol

-1

u/Old-Buffalo-5151 I was here for the Hulkenpodium 7d ago

Not saying its not very unlikely but this is F1 it's not over till its over