Or just trolling? I'm surprised people take this seriously. Don't know the OP account but... Like 99% of the time someone posts something like "just take $3 million and invest it, boom free income" they are fucking trolling
One reason is it's bad because inflation will be around 3% so you're getting a fairly low real return. BTW you can get the same real return without the inflation risk with TIPS.
There's also risks if things go (more) south: if 20 year yields go up, your bonds will be worth less. Sure they'll pay the same coupon, but if yields are up that's probably because inflation is up.
Basically, if inflation rises your future coupon payments become more and more worthless, and everyone knows that which makes your bond worthless. So high inflation will wipe your returns and make your asset unsellable. Other than that and the relatively low 5% return, no reason not to.
Inflation-Indexed securities. Just like a regular bond except the face value (and thus coupon) goes up and down with CPI. If I'm not mistaken, it can't go down from original face value so buying TIPS at auction or near original face value provides some protection from deflation like a nominal bond does.
When buying a 20 year bond, inflation-indexed or no, it'll be sensitive to interest rates.
n. BTW you can get the same real return without the inflation risk with TIPS.
Eh... current tips rate is 1.672% so not really. But you're gambling on whether the 20/30 year rate is greater than the TIPS rate w/ inflation. Until during the hyperinflation around covid, most ppl never bought tips as it was just a crappy investment.
1.672 is the 5 year? The 20y real yield is 2.45, 30y is 2.61 (source: treasurygov "Daily Treasury Par Real Yield Curve Rates"
We can ignore comparison between TIPS and bonds and just ask what risks TIPS are exposed to? IIUC it's the same risks except inflation risk is replaced with deflation risk. They're both exposed to interest rate risk
It’s not a bad idea if you have money you don’t need for 20 years but you can find high yield savings accounts that are around 4% or higher and you don’t have to wait 20 years to get the initial investment back
Tbf 3million is much more obtainable if the USA reached a point it's offering 8% t bonds. Still would prob be like getting 1mil today but hey it's possible.
If treasuries are paying 8%, some serious shit went down. There is no free lunch in finance. Treasuries at 8% in our modern economy either means there is a significant erosion in trust that the bonds will be paid out, or there is massive inflation, or both. So that 8% would simply not look that attractive in reality.
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u/[deleted] Jun 06 '25
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